From Throw Trudeau Out To STOP ANDREW SCHEER???

Personal Bias: I won't be voting Liberal for reasons pretty much everyone already knows.

But take a look at ABACUS:

First, Trudeau's personal polling number is still underwater at -46% but get this: he comes in as Preferred Prime Minister with a positive rating of 35%. That's highly significant.

Another gem: 34% of Conservatives might switch and vote for Bernier's PPC. That ain't doing Scheer and the CPC no favours.

Now to the heart of political supposition: Conservative/Liberal Switchers cancel each other out at 21% each. Then there's this: 39% of NDP supporters might vote Liberal, while for the Greens, it's 27%. Meanwhile, although 41% of Liberals might switch (33% for the CPC), 43% of New Democrats and 53% of Greens might change their vote on voting day.

So, what have we got here? It's only one poll, but it tells me that we're in the process of going from Throw the Trudeau-Liberals Bums Out to Anybody But Scheer's Conservatives. That suggests Trudeau is still liked, on some level, one hell of a lot more than Martin was in 2006. In my mind, Harper should be seen as far more contentious than Scheer. However, that's apparently not what's happening.

Again, it's only one poll, but in my book Scheer and the CPC are already in very serious political trouble. Scheer needs to win every debate and he's got to win each one big. Otherwise, Trudeau and the LPC are likely back in power, if this becomes the trend and holds right up until election day.