Wednesday, 24 July 2019

Why Trump Will Never Be Indicted.

In a sentence, it's called respect for legal precedent. That's why Mueller agreed that a sitting president could not be indicted.

Now, let's move to the next phase: not only did Mueller not recommend indictment but he did not make a determination as to whether Trump committed a crime. It's not a case of but for.

Then take a look at precedent in recent cases: remember that Articles of Impeachment were prepared in the House but were not voted on to actually impeach Nixon. Nixon resigned before that could happen and was pardoned by Ford.

But here's the Mother of All Precedents: think back to Clinton's testimony in the Paula Jones Deposition. All Clinton remembered was that Lewinsky brought pizza to the White House. Couldn't recollect anything else clearly.

Then move the clock forward to his answering the Starr team's questions in the White House Map Room: in a prepared opening statement, Clinton acknowledged he had indeed been alone with Lewinsky in the Oval Office and his OO private study. That was a direct admission to perjury and obstruction of justice in the Jones Deposition.

But what ultimately happened? Clinton was impeached by the House but acquitted at trial in the Senate. So, Clinton got to serve out his term.

Where the rubber hits the road is the role precedent played once Clinton left office. The former president was never charged with a crime for his previous testimony. That was precedent at work. No American President, or former president, has ever been indicted on criminal charges.

And so it will be in Trump's case, once he's out of office. The fix is already in. Only politicians are wasting their time arguing over something that will never happen.

It's called a respect for precedent.

Saturday, 20 July 2019

Butts Is Back.

Can you believe it? I never thought I would see a party sink so low as to reject with a wave of the hand all the legitimate objections made to the way this government handled important files.

Don't those people recognize that they went down because of their own conduct? Canadians, being essentially fair-minded, decided to some degree to put all of this behind them. That's why the Liberals rebounded in the polls -- especially in Ontario, what with all of the Ford fatigue.

But this move is a big Fuck You to any and everyone who took the Trudeau government to task. Yes, it's Laurentian Elite thinking of the worst order. This is merely a reflection of pure political entitlement -- of nothing but contempt for Canadians and utter disregard for likely voters.

Trudeau is actually on board with this type of disastrous thinking. What will be their reaction when they once again tank in the polls? Do they, to any extent, see it coming -- not to mention envision it as a distinct possibility? No. They're clueless and inept.

And that will be their lasting legacy, as they themselves do more than anything Conservatives can do to put Scheer in the PM's chair.

They've made their political bed with this whopper. Let 'em lie in it. It's well deserved.

Saturday, 13 July 2019

K-I-N-S-E-L-L-A.

For starters, Kinsella wanted to be a candidate and he should be. There's nothing preventing him from effectively being both aspiring candidate and Green Room Guy. So, right off the top, I question May's judgment and political savvy.

Moving on. I hope Kinsella can make Elizabeth see sense: you can't have a truly effective and worthwhile War Room if you don't go on offense. The mentality must ALWAYS BE scorched earth -- but there are ways to deliver the punches and counter punches with an iron fist in a velvet glove.

No one is better at that than Warren. So, the  announcement is a mixed bag of a lot of good news coupled with some astonishing disappointment.

But one thing's for sure: let Kinsella at 'em and they'll never be the same, politically.

If nothing else, it'll be a riot to watch him in action. May the fun begin!

Monday, 8 July 2019

From Throw Trudeau Out To STOP ANDREW SCHEER???

Personal Bias: I won't be voting Liberal for reasons pretty much everyone already knows.

But take a look at ABACUS:

First, Trudeau's personal polling number is still underwater at -46% but get this: he comes in as Preferred Prime Minister with a positive rating of 35%. That's highly significant.

Another gem: 34% of Conservatives might switch and vote for Bernier's PPC. That ain't doing Scheer and the CPC no favours.

Now to the heart of political supposition: Conservative/Liberal Switchers cancel each other out at 21% each. Then there's this: 39% of NDP supporters might vote Liberal, while for the Greens, it's 27%. Meanwhile, although 41% of Liberals might switch (33% for the CPC), 43% of New Democrats and 53% of Greens might change their vote on voting day.

So, what have we got here? It's only one poll, but it tells me that we're in the process of going from Throw the Trudeau-Liberals Bums Out to Anybody But Scheer's Conservatives. That suggests Trudeau is still liked, on some level, one hell of a lot more than Martin was in 2006. In my mind, Harper should be seen as far more contentious than Scheer. However, that's apparently not what's happening.

Again, it's only one poll, but in my book Scheer and the CPC are already in very serious political trouble. Scheer needs to win every debate and he's got to win each one big. Otherwise, Trudeau and the LPC are likely back in power, if this becomes the trend and holds right up until election day.






Saturday, 6 July 2019

The Democratic Double-Edged Curse.

Let's start with Biden: I'm for Joe but I'm actually sentient. You know, aware of my surroundings and what's happening in my own party. So, I'm one up on Biden.

The guy's stuck in a time warp, defending his position on crime bills and busing -- not to mention -- apologizing for things that happened ages ago. None of it is good politically.

When Biden says he's changed -- he's fucking right, of course he has but that's simply not good enough for today's activist Democrats. The party has moved on to the radical left and left Biden in the dust. That's reality. In their heart of hearts, they're already ready to nominate AOC, but they can't because she's only 29.

Biden is clueless that Nixon got it right: run hard toward the base and then move to the center in the general. That's the only way he gets the nomination, period. In short, he can stay centrist and lose, if he wants too. That's the AOC-inspired Democratic Curse, Part I.

Part II is killing Sanders. Bernie has all the right progressive cred and has already earned the nomination. But again, the party's in love with AOC. Sanders is yesterday's liberal news -- which explains why Sanders is not in the top two for fund raising.

So, expect a sudden breakout from the pack and a nominee who barely gets above the Article II constitutional requirements.

Under those circumstances, Trump's goose would normally be cooked. But remember, it ain't only about the 3 million more votes Hillary got. It's also about winning in enough states to take the Electoral College.

That can only mean trouble in River City for Democrats come 2020. Once they have a nominee, for Christ's sake, V-O-T-E, cause I can guarantee you that 99% of Trump supporters definitely will.


Monday, 1 July 2019

It's Called Bye, Bye, Bolton.

Expect Bolton to be gone within days or weeks. Too funny. The Administration's leading hawk basically having a hissy fit because Trump does his own thing and goes his own way (like that is something new).

For starters, the U.S. position on complete denuclearization is diplomatic pie in the sky -- unless you are prepared to go to war to achieve that end. Here's the news flash: Clinton, Bush, Obama and Trump weren't prepared to do that.

Sanctions are a joke, no matter how robust, because they can cripple the DPRK's economy but that will never make them bend to complete denuclearization.

So, the freeze is an interesting idea, provided that top-notch international inspections are part of the deal. But a freeze is just that, a freeze. It is in no way a precursor to denuclearization talks.

If Trump is willing to permanently settle for a freeze, it's a huge win. If it's seen by the Administration as some kind of a stepping stone to full denuclearization, then Trump has been played and it's a disaster. You can't kick this can further down the road if both countries agree to a freeze, cause a freeze is the end as far as the DPRK is concerned, should such an agreement actually come about.