That's the only thing I've got in common with Trump. But it's fucking big.
Let me tell you why and then deconstruct Trump. The older I get, the more channelled in I am and the better my predictions become.
When I heard about Mexican tariffs, I got one hell of a flash: it told me that last Thursday was basically the day Trump wrapped up 2020. No matter who the Democrats put forward, even Biden, who I support, they are done.
Here's why: the election won't be about a good or bad economy, or even Trump personally. What will turn the tide and win a second term are today's hot button issues, namely, perceived reverse racism and immigration. That's what will get Trump another win.
Today's politics has nothing to do with the obvious: the twin fallacies of actual reverse racism and immigrants as economic threat. Instead, we live in a twilight zone where perceptions are king-- and pay off in spades politically.
You no longer have to be gifted intellectually to be president. Nor consistently rational. Today's president is all about stirring up and stoking emotion-- more often than not, based only on perceived reality.
Trump's move on Mexican tariffs is nothing short of tactical brilliance. Ditto for China. I can't tell you how many votes that gets him. Use the logic or economic paradigms and it makes absolutely no sense. But follow your raw, empathic, political instincts and it scores a home run!
What Jared and others don't get is that 2020 is all about hot button issues and an ever growing insularity across America. Trump knows it. It's not the policy of high angels, or even what's right, but it's the course that will get Trump re-elected.
I laughed when Trump thought he was right on North Korea. I'm not laughing now. IF the impossible can be pulled off, it will be done by none other than Trump. Literally no one expects that. But then, very few thought Trump would end up president.
No comments:
Post a Comment