Sunday, 28 April 2019

Why All These Polls Are SNC Polls, Not Ordinary Polls.

If the Léger Poll was indicative of traditional opinion polls, hope would still spring eternal for Liberals, as theoretically all polls are recoverable up until voting day.

But the Léger poll is only the first of what I would term the SNC-Lavalin polls. These polls reflect Trudeau's self-inflicted wounds -- no one but this Prime Minister is directly responsible for the Liberal slide -- Trudeau and Trudeau alone gets to wear this decline.

Léger puts Liberal support at 27 percent with Conservatives leading with 40 percent. The NDP is at 12 percent with Greens one point behind. The People's Party has 3 percent support.

In addition, Conservatives are ahead in every region except for Quebec. Thanks to Trudeau's own decisions, 65 percent of respondents are dissatisfied with this government. Ditto for best prime minister where Scheer leads Trudeau by 25 to 20 percent.

Ironically, Canadians prefer a Liberal to a Conservative government, 30 to 25 percent but with 45 percent undecided. Note that a plurality of Canadians prefers a Liberal government -- and that doesn't necessarily mean a Trudeau-led Liberal government.

Like I've said before, the minute that Trudeau expelled JWR and JP from caucus and denied them Liberal candidate status, he SEALED THE FATE of his government.

Polls will continue to reflect SNC -- barring some CPC campaign disaster -- and Conservative support will slowly and steadily solidify right up until election day.

The 2019 election will go into the history books as The SNC Election and Justin Trudeau will bear sole responsibility for a Liberal defeat.

And to think that Norman is waiting in the wings, to further erode Liberal support between now and voting day. The Liberals are done.




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